We Asked Grok 3 to Predict the Market (July 2025 Edition)

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  • Predicting what will happen in the markets is difficult, so I decided to see what AI had to say.
  • We asked Grok 3 what July 2025 has in store for stocks, bitcoin, and more.

Many try but few succeed in correctly predicting the markets — even among Wall Street analysts who do it for a living.

Take the S&P 500, for example. The index closed 2024 at 5,882, cementing a second year of more than 20% gains. Yet at this time last year, Wall Street's 2024 median year-end price target was just 4,850, according to Bloomberg data. Not exactly close.

Since experts are so often wrong, I figured it wouldn't be a bad idea to put Big Tech's trillion-dollar baby to work and ask AI for its predictions on the economy and markets going into 2025.

Will bitcoin go to the moon? Peak price prediction?

We'll find out in next month...


The S&P 500 will end the July 2025 month at 6,400.

Grok 3 said: 

My specific forecast, leaning toward a cautious but optimistic scenario, is 6,400 for the S&P 500 by the end of July 2025. This assumes moderate economic growth, stable corporate earnings, and no major negative shocks (e.g., a recession or severe trade disruptions). However, this is a rough estimate, as unforeseen events like geopolitical tensions or shifts in Federal Reserve policy could significantly alter the trajectory.


July 2025's top sectors will be Technology and Energy and Healthcare

Grok 3 answers "Which sectors in the S&P500 will perform the best in July 2025?"

Top Picks: Energy and Healthcare are likely to lead in July 2025 due to their Q1 strength, defensive characteristics, and favorable macro trends (e.g., commodity prices, steady demand). Utilities and Consumer Staples are close contenders for stability, while Industrials could surprise if economic growth accelerates.

Bitcoin will hit $140,000

I asked Grok "What's your July 2025 month-end price target for bitcoin?"

Grok 3 said

Given Bitcoin’s current price around $108,000–$109,000 (as of July 9, 2025), historical July gains (median 8%), and technical indicators (bullish engulfing pattern, RSI at 58.14 signaling neutral-to-bullish sentiment), my month-end price target for July 2025 is $120,000. This assumes sustained ETF inflows, no major geopolitical shocks, and a breakout above the $110,000 resistance level. The range could be $110,000–$130,000, reflecting moderate growth (2–5% per CoinDCX) to optimistic scenarios (30% per Bitget).

Peak price target:

  • My peak price target for Bitcoin in July 2025 is $140,000, assuming sustained bullish catalysts like ETF demand and no major macroeconomic or regulatory disruptions. This aligns with the upper end of credible forecasts but remains speculative due to Bitcoin’s volatility.

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