We Asked ChatGPT to Predict the Market (July 2025 Edition)
- Predicting what will happen in the markets is difficult, so I decided to see what AI had to say.
- We asked ChatGPT what July 2025 has in store for stocks, bitcoin, and more.
Many try but few succeed in correctly predicting the markets — even among Wall Street analysts who do it for a living.
Take the S&P 500, for example. The index closed 2024 at 5,882, cementing a second year of more than 20% gains. Yet at this time last year, Wall Street's 2024 median year-end price target was just 4,850, according to Bloomberg data. Not exactly close.
Since experts are so often wrong, I figured it wouldn't be a bad idea to put Big Tech's trillion-dollar baby to work and ask AI for its predictions on the economy and markets going into 2025.
Will bitcoin go to the moon? Peak price prediction?
We'll find out in next month...
The S&P 500 will end the July 2025 month at 6,200 - 6,300 range.
ChatGPT said the S&P 500 would end July 2025 at the 6200 - 6300 range.
There's been debate over whether the S&P 500 can continue its upward climb for a third year in a row, but ChatGPT seems to believe it will. The chatbot gave me a bullish forecast of 6,500 at the end of 2025, citing robust corporate earnings growth and historic growth trends. With this estimate, ChatGPT joins the likes of big banks like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Citi, and Morgan Stanley. The median price target among Wall Street strategists is 6,600, according to Bloomberg data.
July 2025's top sectors will be Technology and Energy
ChatGPT answers "Which sectors in the S&P500 will perform the best in July 2025?"
ChatGPT's top sector picks for July 2025 include Technology and Energy.
Expect Technology and Energy to be the strongest performers to close out July, with Financials and Communication Services also delivering solid gains. Defensive sectors, on the other hand, are likely to continue lagging unless sentiment shifts.
Bitcoin will hit $120,000
I asked ChatGPT "What's your July 2025 month-end price target for bitcoin?"
It turns out ChatGPT is a bitcoin bull. It predicts that bitcoin will continue its ascent and end the year in six-figure territory.
For end July 2025:
- Base Target: $115k
- Bull Case: $120k (strong ETF flows, breakout confirmation)
- Bear Case: $108k–$110k (resistance rejection or external shock)
Peak price target:
- Most likely peak price range in July 2025: $115,000 – $120,000
Inflation will stabilize around 2.5% to 3%
I asked ChatGPT "What's your inflation outlook for 2025?"
If there's one thing American consumers hate, it's inflation. With prices up significantly over the past few years, voters listed the economy as their top concern coming into the 2024 election.
ChatGPT doesn't think 2025 will be the year when inflation is fully defeated, predicting that it would hover around the same levels as 2024. The chatbot said slowing wage growth and stabilizing energy prices will prevent inflation from getting out of control, but price gains will remain elevated.
Some Wall Street economists have given estimates within this ballpark, with UBS estimating inflation would be 2.6% by the end of 2025. Others are more optimistic — Goldman Sachs believes inflation will fall to 2.1%.
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